The European Commission recommends cycling to tackle the energy crisis: next steps

But the Real Work Starts Now

Europe is facing a reality it can no longer ignore. Twice in less than five years, geopolitical shocks have exposed the fragility of its energy model. The dependence on imported fossil fuels—long understood in theory—has now translated into tangible economic pressure on households, businesses, and governments alike.

In 2025 alone, the European Union spent nearly €340 billion on energy imports, the equivalent of roughly €747 per citizen. In just over 50 days of recent geopolitical escalation, an additional €24 billion was spent—over €460 million per day

This is not just an energy issue. It is a structural vulnerability.

Against this backdrop, the European Commission’s AccelerateEU initiative marks an important shift. For the first time at this level of urgency, cycling is being positioned not as a lifestyle choice, but as a strategic lever for energy resilience.

  • It’s a significant step forward.

  • But it’s only the beginning.

A System Built on Cars — and Its Limits

Europe’s transport system remains overwhelmingly car-dependent:

  • 82% of passenger transport is done by car

  • The majority of vehicles still rely on fossil fuels

  • The average daily travel distance is approximately 27 km

That last figure is critical.

Most daily trips are already within cycling distance—especially with the rapid rise of electric bikes. The technology exists. The use cases are clear. The economics are compelling. In fact, the market has already started to move.

Across Europe and North America, millions of bicycles—and increasingly eBikes—have been purchased over the past decade. Individuals are not waiting for systemic change; they are investing in their own mobility solutions. So why hasn’t this translated into a full-scale shift away from cars?

The Commission’s Approach: Necessary, but Not Sufficient

The European Commission deserves credit for the direction it is taking. Its recommendations include:

  • Subsidies and fiscal incentives for bicycle purchases

  • Corporate bike leasing programs

  • Expansion of bike-sharing systems

  • Support for cargo bikes in urban logistics

These measures address real barriers. They improve access, reduce upfront costs, and encourage adoption. But they are built around a central assumption:

  • If people have access to bikes, they will use them.

In reality, the situation is more complex.

The Hidden Constraint: The Trip Must Be Completed

The fundamental flaw in most mobility strategies is not at the beginning of the journey—it is at the end.

Even when individuals own bicycles or eBikes:

  • They hesitate to use them for commuting

  • They worry about theft at destination

  • They lack reliable charging options

  • They cannot count on finding a secure space

This creates friction. And friction kills habits.

The result is a paradox:

‍ ‍High ownership, but inconsistent usage

Millions of bicycles exist. But they are not fully activated as daily mobility tools.

Why Bike Share Doesn’t Solve the Problem

Bike sharing has played an important role in urban mobility. It has introduced cycling to new users and demonstrated its viability in dense environments. But bike share solves a different problem:

  • It provides access to a bicycle

  • It does not support ownership-based commuting behavior

The market trend is clear:

  • People prefer to own their mobility

  • Especially when it becomes electrified

However, ownership alone is not enough. Without the right infrastructure, it leads to underutilization.

The Missing Layer: Arrival Infrastructure

If cycling is to become a true alternative to the automobile, the system must evolve beyond access. It must address what happens at destination.

This means:

  • Secure parking that eliminates theft risk

  • Safe, integrated charging for eBikes

  • Guaranteed availability that removes uncertainty

  • Connected systems that enable measurement and optimization

This is not a marginal improvement. It is the difference between occasional use and daily adoption.

From Access to Enablement

The conversation must shift.

From:

“How do we get more people on bikes?”

To:

“How do we ensure people can use their bikes—every day?”

This is where the real leverage lies. Because the most powerful asset is already in place:

👉 The bikes themselves

No new fleets are required. No large-scale manufacturing ramp-up is needed. What is missing is the infrastructure that allows these assets to perform.

A Strategic Opportunity

If implemented correctly, this shift could unlock:

  • Immediate reductions in fossil fuel demand

  • Lower transportation costs for households

  • Increased resilience to geopolitical shocks

  • Measurable reductions in Scope 3 emissions

  • More efficient use of existing urban space

Few infrastructure investments offer this combination of speed, scale, and impact. And yet, this layer remains largely absent from current strategies.

The Real Next Step

The European Commission has done something important:

  • It has legitimized cycling as part of the energy transition.

Now comes the harder part. Turning intent into impact requires moving beyond incentives and addressing the structural barriers that prevent daily use.

The next phase is not about adoption. It is about activation.

Conclusion

Cycling is no longer a peripheral solution. It is central to Europe’s ability to navigate its energy future.

But unless the system evolves to support the completion of every trip, its full potential will remain unrealized.

The next breakthrough in mobility is not more bikes. It is making the ones we already own usable—every day.

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